41st Annual Society for Mathematical Psychology Conference

Washington DC

Sponsored by:


July 26, 2008


SMP Reception: Cash Bar & hors d'oeuvres: Ballroom 1

July 27, 2008


Continental Breakfast: Ballroom 1




Symposium on Probabilistic Causation I: Causal Strength


8:00 AM

Causal-Power Assumptions for Coherence and Compositionality

Patrica Cheng

Empirical confidence effects and the extent to which

they constrain confidence models

Edgar Merkle

8:25 AM

Structure, strength, and prior knowledge in causal induction

Tom Griffiths

A Diffusion Model Decomposition of the Practice Effect

Gilles Dutilh, Joachim Vandekerckhove,

Francis Tuerlinckx, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

8:50 AM

A New Look at Causal Strength From Signal-Detection Framework

Jun Zhang

Decision noise may mask criterion shifts

Christoph Weideman, Shane T. Mueller

9:15 AM

Learning Causal Schemata

Charles Kemp, Matt Jones

Learning from environments: the role of experience

Anita Mehta, J.M. Luck

9:40 AM

Sequential Causal Learning

Hongjing Lu, Yasuaki Sakamoto

Modeling Reaction Time and Accuracy of Multiple-Choice Decisions

Fabio Liete

10:05 AM

Strength Priors and the Noisy-Logical Distribution

Alan Yuille

On Human Probability Judgments - From Biases in Logic to Bayes Logic?

Momme von Sydow

AM BREAK 10:30 – 11:00 (Executive Forum Foyer)

July 27, 2008





Symposium on Probabilistic Causation II:

Selective Influence



11:00 AM

Processing Trees Equivalent to Mixtures of Processing Trees

Richard Schweickert, Shengbao Chen

The Semantics of Eye Movements

in Cross-Situational Statistical Word Learning

George Kachergis, Chen Yu, Richard M. Shiffrin

Both response latency and choice are important in absolute identification

Chris Donkin, Scott Brown,

Andrew Heathcote

11:25 AM

Foundations of Selective Influence

Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov, Janne V. Kujala

Words as alleles: Equivalence of iterated learning and neutral models from population genetics

Florencia Reali, Thomas L. Griffiths

Mean-Variance Preferences as the Outcome of Reinforcement Learning

Jerker Denrell

11:50 AM

Population-Level Tests

of Selective Influence

Janne V. Kujala, Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

Using Latent Semantic Analysis to Examine the Relationship between Sound and Meaning

Eyal Sagi, Katya Otis

Dimensions in data: Analysis

of category learning models

John Dunn, Michael L Kalish, Ben Newell

12:15 PM

Aspects of Selective Influence

James Townsend

The ubiquity of implicit processing in free recall

and insight problem solving: Reminiscence

and overshadowing

Sabastien Helie, Ron Sun

Comparing Rational and Mechanistic Accounts of Category Mean

and Variance Estimation

Bradley Love, Tyler Davis, Yasuaki Sakamoto, Matt Jones

LUNCH 12:40 – 2:00

JMP Editorial Board luncheon (Longworth)

July 27, 2008




Perception I

Symposium on Cognitive Decision Theory

2:00 PM

Early Feedback Model Of Human Goal-Directed Movement

Oh-Sang Kwon, Jeffrey N. Shelton

Error in Confidence Judgments

Trisha Van Zandt

2:25 PM

Assessing Architecture in Cubic Space: Extending the Double Factorial Paradigm to Three Features

Lacey Perry, Leslie M. Blaha, James T. Townsend

The mediating role of memory on judgment and decision making

Michael Dougherty, Rick Thomas

2:50 PM

On the near-miss to Weber's law

under a generalized subtractive framework

Yung-Fong Hsu, Geoffrey Iverson, Chris Doble

A Dynamic, Stochastic, and Computational Judgment Model

Timothy Pleskac, Jerome R. Busemeyer

3:15 PM

Illusory Correlation as the Outcome of Experience Sampling

Gael Le Mens, Jerker Denrell

Integrating sophisticated choice models with basic learning processes to more fully account for complex choice behavior

Jerome Busemeyer, Eric Dimperio, Ryan K. Jessup

3:40 PM

The ancient sorites paradox and discrimination judgments

Ehtibar Dzhafarov

Cognitive Processes in Risky Choice

Ralph Hertwig, Thorsten Pachur

PM BREAK 4:05 - 4:30 (Executive Forum Foyer)


Perception II


4:30 PM

Detecting changes in a multi-element display

Cheng-Ta Yang, Hsu Yung-Fong, Yeh Yei-Yu

Poisson-Difference model for choice probability and response times

Kenpei Shiina

4:55 PM

A computational analysis of infant object perception

Charles Kemp, Fei Xu

A Lexicographic Semiorder Polytope

Clintin Davis-Stober

5:20 PM

Revealing Smiles: Modeling Emotional Facial Expressions as Trajectories

Jesse Spencer-Smith

Mathematical Modeling and Functional Neuroimaging Show that the Striatum Facilitates Decision-Making under Time Pressure

Birte Forstmann, Gilles Dutilh, Scott Brown, Jane Neumann,

Yves von Cramon, K. Richard Ridderinkhof, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

5:45 PM

The Effect of Background Noise on Multisensory Integration in Saccadic Reaction Time

Hans Colonius, Adele Diederich, Rike Steenken (Cancelled)

Workload Capacity Space: A Unified Methodology for Response Times

Ami Eidels, James T. Townsend

Plenary session: Poster Spotlight 6:15 – 6:40

(Executive Forum)

Poster Session 6:45 – 8:00 (Ballroom 1)

(Cash Bar)

July 28, 2008


Continental Breakfast: Ballroom 1




Bayesian Modeling

Memory I

8:00 AM

Dialogue model of rumor transmission

Bernard P. Brooks, Nicholas DiFonzo, David S. Ross

Three types of decision bounds in General Recognition Theory

Noah Silbert, James T. Townsend, Jennifer J. Lentz

8:25 AM

Bayesian models of elemental diagnostic reasoning

Bjoern Meder, Ralf Mayrhofer, Michael R. Waldmann

A Bayesian Account of Reconstructive Memory

Mark Styvers, Pernille Hemmer

8:50 AM

Learning the form of causal relationships

Christopher Lucas, Thomas L. Griffiths

Context Maintenance and Retrieval: A model of episodic and semantic organization in free recall

Sean Polyn, Michael J. Kahana

9:15 AM

Violations of screening off: A Bayesian error attribution model of causal reasoning

Ralf Mayrhofer, York Hagmayer, Michael R. Waldmann

Model selection amongst signal detection models of recognition memory: Generalization, flexibility, and parameter reliability

Yoonhee Jang, John T. Wixted, David E. Huber

9:40 AM

Bayesian Graphical Modeling of Higher-Order Cognition

Michael Lee

The strength assumption vs differentiation: Evidence from direct ratings of memory strength

Amy Criss

AM BREAK 10:05 – 10:30 (Executive Forum Foyer)

10:30 AM

Keynote Address - Jonathan Wilkenfeld “Modeling the Hidden Processes in Conflict among Nations"

Executive Forum room

LUNCH 11:30 – 1:00

SMP Executive Committee Luncheon (Longworth)

July 28, 2008




Measurement and Statistics I

Memory II

1:00 PM

Item-response models for measuring human thresholds.

Jeff Rouder, Richard Morey

The Remember/Know Paradigm from the Perspective

of Mixture Signal Detection Theory

Lawrence DeCarlo

1:25 PM

Why Some Among us Believe in the Significance Fallacy

Geoffrey Iverson

Cognitive Model Comparisons of the Spacing Effect: Criteria that Account for Complexity, Generalization, and Prediction Capabilities

Tiffany Jastrzembski

1:50 PM

Inferring Sequential Decision Processes with the Trial-by-Trial Maximum Likelihood Method: Comparing Generative

versus Predictive Sufficiency

Todd Gureckis

The spacing effect, the mirror effect, and the word-frequency effect

Bennet Murdock, William Hockley, Bruce Oddson

2:15 PM

Game Theory Foundational Errors and the Mathematical Foundations of the Social Sciences

Jonathan Barzilai

Using hazard functions to examine models of recognition memory

Richard Chechile

2:40 PM

Legitimate inferences based on meaningless or inadmissible statistics.

Annemarie Zand Scholten, Denny Borsboom

Extending the Memory Theory of the Constant Error

Stephen Link

PM BREAK 3:05 – 3:30 (Executive Forum Foyer)

July 28, 2008




Measurement and Statistics II

Applied Cognitive Modeling

3:30 PM

Latent Assignment Modeling of Contaminants

Matthew Zeigenfuse, Michael D. Lee

A diffusion model analysis of threat processing in anxiety

Corey White, Roger Ratcliff, Michael Vasey, Gail McKoon

3:55 PM

Improving volume estimation using Parameter Space Partitioning

Maximiliano Montenegro, Mark Pitt, Jay Myung

Bayesian Parameter Estimation in the Expectancy Valence Model

of the Iowa Gambling Task

Ruud Wetzels, Joachim Vandekerck,

Francis Tuerlinckx, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

4:20 – 4:45 PM

Bayesian hypothesis testing for hierarchical models using transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo

Tom Lodewyckx, Michael Lee, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Modeling cognitive load and threat reduction: Quantitative characteristics of hierarchically nested decisional control scenarios

Matthew Shanahan, Richard W. J. Neufeld

4:55 PM

New Investigator Award talk - Daniel Navarro, Department of Psychology, University of Adelaide

“Bayesian models for concepts and decisions”

Executive Forum

5:50 PM

Keynote Address - James Yorke, Department of Mathematics, University of Maryland

Chaos, a collection of ideas that impacts all of the sciences.”

Executive Forum

7:00 PM

Conference Dinner

Ballroom 1

July 29, 2008

7:00 AM

Continental Breakfast: Ballroom 1

7:30 AM

Business Meeting 7:30 – 8:00 Ballroom 1




Symposium on Cognitive Diagnosis: Psychometric and Knowledge Space Methods

Problem Solving

8:00 AM

Knowledge Assessment in a Learning Space

Jean Claude Falmagne

Detecting and Predicting Changes

Scott Brown, Mark Steyvers, Pennie Dodds

8:25 AM

Heuristic Models of Human Performance on Bandit Problems

Shunan Zhang, Michael D. Lee, Miles Munro

8:50 AM

Modeling Diagnostic Assessments with Bayesian Networks

Russell Almond

Does mathematical, logical and physical science problem solving form a single domain?

Michael Lamport Commons, Andrew M. Richardson

9:15 AM

The effectiveness of the Model of Hierarchical Complexity in accounting for performance on stage of development of mathematical, logical, and physical science problem solving tasks

Andrew Michael Richardson, Michael Lamport Commons, Alexander Pekker

9:40 AM

Cognitive Diagnosis using Multidimensional Item Response Theory and Multivariate Latent Class Models

Matthias Von Davier

The small effect of non-hierarchical complexity variables on the effectiveness of the Model of Hierarchical Complexity in accounting for performance on mathematical stage instruments

Michael Lamport Commons

10:05 AM

Traveling Salesman Problem with non-Euclidean Distances

Yll Haxhimusa, Joseph Catrambone, Zygmunt Pizlo

AM BREAK 10:30 – 10:55 (Executive Forum Foyer)

July 29, 2008




Measurement and Statistics 3


10:55 AM

Cultural Mixture Modeling: An Extension of Cultural Consensus Theory using Finite Mixture Modeling

Shane Mueller, Elizabeth S. Veinott

The Computational Dynamics of Visual Attention

Philip Smith

11:20 AM

An Exploration of Parallel-Interactive

Information Processing Models

Joseph Houpt, Lei Pei, Ami Eidels,

Nicholas Altieri, Mario Fific, James Townsend

A model of 3D shape recovery from a single 2D image

based on simplicity constraints

Yunfeng Li

11:45 AM

Bayesian Analysis of the Expectancy Valence Learning Model

with Data from Cocaine Abusers

Woojae Kim, Jerome Busemeyer

Fractals from Fixations

Frederick Shic, Katarzyna Chawarska,

Steven W. Zucker, Brian Scassellati

12:10 PM

Population-weighted Reliability Index for Linear Test:

the Application of IRT in Classical Testing

Chun Wang, Hua-Hua Chang

Detecting mirror-symmetry of a 3D shape from its single 2D image

Tadamasa Sawada

12:35 PM

End of Conference